
A | Reports that Donald Trump may formally announce his intention to run again in 2024 as soon as some time later this month carry with them both risks and opportunities, conservative commentators and GOP donors have told Sputnik.,On Friday, The New York Times reported that the former president could announce a bid for reelection in the near future to preempt the January 6 Committee’s investigation and possible recommendations of criminal charges against him, and to steal the limelight from potential contenders, chief among them Florida Governor Ron DeSantis.,“I think if Trump announced his candidacy now, he would take some of the pressure off of the January 6 hearings…put his opponents on notice and get a very large head start,” Dan Eberhart, an Arizona-based oil executive and major GOP donor, says.,The January 6 hearings, which Trump has decried as a partisan “witch hunt” aimed at stopping him in 2024 after two failed impeachments and the collapse of the Russiagate probe, are nevertheless “damaging to Trump’s reputation,” and could “persuade centrists not to vote for him,” Eberhart thinks.,Trump Blasts January 6 Probe as Attempt to Keep Him From Seeking Reelection in 202414 June, 00:04 GMT,“The January 6 Select Committee is a political charade, the goal of which has already been determined,” Marc Little, a conservative political commentator, pastor, and California-based lawyer, says of the House investigation.,“The FBI reported there is no connection between the breach of the Capitol and President Trump. Accordingly, this partisan committee was formed with the sole intent [of being] a ‘third’ impeachment hearing against a man who proved them to be ineffective, useless politicians... Trump is a threat to the Establishment’s agenda to undermine America’s founding principles and the scam they have all played on the American people,” Little said.,Eberhart urges the Trump team to be cautious, saying an announcement too early could prove a “distraction for Republicans” campaigning in the midterms, hamper Trump’s fundraising opportunities, and tighten Federal Election Commission finance reporting requirements.,The donor recognizes, however, that an early announcement would also rally Trump's base, and “allow him to amass all the campaign consultants and political operatives he needs to keep those away from his opponents somewhat, principally Governor DeSantis”.,“I think Trump is always trying to stay in the news and be relevant. But I think that if he announces too hurriedly, it will actually limit his chances to be reelected and distract voters from the midterm elections, which are really more important for the Republicans right now,” Eberhart stresses.,Mr. Little isn’t as worried, suggesting that “to the most discerning eyes,” Trump “is already running,” and if he makes a formal announcement, it could "preempt" “the soon-to-be [released] bogus findings of the January 6 Select Committee, who doesn’t seem discouraged by using hearsay and fabricated testimony to make its case against the former president.”,Little is confident that an early announcement on Trump’s part would have “no impact on” the coming red wave in the 2022 midterms, given that “the domestic and international failures of the Biden administration” have become “too great for the Democrats to overcome.”,Donald Trump Could Be One of ‘Multiple Criminal Referrals’ by January 6 Committee, Cheney SaysYesterday, 07:54 GMT,Furthermore, Little says, an early announcement could undermine the January 6 Committee’s possible push for criminal charges against the ex-president, particularly “if the [Department of Justice’s] tradition of not indicting a presidential candidate applies to former president Trump as it did to former secretary of state Hillary Clinton.”,In the summer of 2016, the DoJ closed its criminal probe into Mrs. Clinton over her potentially illegal use of a private server during her tenure as Barack Obama’s secretary of state, with the FBI similarly recommending no criminal charges and slapping Mrs. Clinton on the wrist by accusing her of being “extremely careless” by using the server. The FBI reopened its probe after discovering new emails in October 2016, but no criminal charges were issues. In 2019, a State Department probe concluded that 38 people were “culpable” of mishandling classified information by sending it to Clinton’s server, but no punishments were meted out.,“It is important for the former president to use his clout to strengthen the party and its chances to regain a majority in both the House and Senate,” Little believes. “Trump has extraordinary support among Americans. His support wanes among politicians in his own party and among the big donor class who prefer a statesman and an even-tempered leader. Those who hold such thoughts and desires don’t fully appreciate the signs of the times and the intentional rot of American exceptionalism by the left in America and by those abroad. President Trump is the only proven obstacle to these pernicious forces,” the observer concludes.,President Biden’s approval ratings have hit unprecedented lows comparable only to those of George W. Bush in recent weeks amid growing concerns about inflation, food and gas prices, international crises, and recession fears.,With Biden’s Approval Rating Tanking, Most Americans Don’t Want POTUS to Run in 2024, Polls Show1 July, 20:27 GMT,Last week, a Harvard CAPS-Harris Poll survey found that some 71 percent of Americans don’t want Biden to seek a second term, citing his record and age. The same poll found that 61 percent don’t want to see Trump attempt a return to the White House in 2024, with critics characterizing him as "too erratic", divisive, or responsible for the January 6, 2021 Capitol mayhem.,Last month, a Yahoo News/YouGov poll found that Trump had secured a slim lead over Biden in a hypothetical 2024 matchup, with 44 percent of registered voters ready to cast their ballots for the business mogul compared with 42 percent who said they would vote for Biden against Trump.。 本篇评级为★★★,主要围绕以下内容展开: 1、日本领跌全市场,短期压力无解; 2、人工智能下游应用"蠢蠢欲动",多大的机会? 3、黄金回调后,会重新吸引资金吗? 如有疑问请以音频内容为准,添加妙投小虎哥微信:miaotou515,入群有机会与董小姐进一步交流。

B | 新闻解读评级说明:五星重磅,四星重要,三星级以下大家选择听。 1、日本领跌全市场,短期压力无解 今天市场受到的外部扰动比较大,尤其是日本因素和美国因素都在市场上造成了负面的叠加。 我们先看日本这边。今天日经225指数跌幅超过3%,领跌全亚洲市场。其中一个触发因素大家都知道,就是日本首相没底线的发言遭到了中国严厉反制,起到了震慑作用。还有一个更重要的原因,其实是市场猜测日本新上来的这位首相会采取大规模的刺激方案,现在这个刺激方案好像已经快到临门一脚的阶段。

C | 大规模的刺激意味着国债规模会迅速扩大,国债的供给量会增大,传导到市场,就是大家看到国债的价格下跌,国债收益率上升。

D | 尤其是今天长期的30年期国债收益率涨了1.72%,是比较少见的,现在30年期国债收益率达到了3.31%,这个国债收益率比中国同期的国债收益率还要高。日本国债的市场又非常敏感,因为它容易串联到全球,造成全球的震动。

E | 日本有大量的资金是低利息借贷之后,转换成其他国家的货币投到了全球,所以当日本这边的货币政策或者它的国债市场,或者它的利率出现变动的时候,容易传染到全球,大家跟着一起去波动。所以今天日本不光在全球制造了波动,实际上它国内这个情况也比较微妙,它的债券市场、外汇市场以及它的股票市场出现了三杀的局面。 接下来就是一个比较敏感的窗口期,日本会作何处理?这个地方要留意一下,日本的国内的金融市场跟全球不太一样,过去的这么多年以来,日本发行国债或者是日本的这个股票市场,它最大的一个买家其实是来自于它本国的央行。这一次还是这个样子的,就是日本央行要不要过来接?要不要过来抬轿子?就日本搞这个财政扩张,央行这边来这个收国债,顺便去发行一大堆的这个资金,印一大堆的钞票,如果还搞老的这一套的话,或许会短时间去平息一下市场的恐慌情绪,但是没有办法解决根本性的问题。 本文为妙投付费内容,上述仅为摘要,购买本专栏即可解锁完整内容。新用户可免费领本专栏7天阅读体验机会,在妙投APP-我的-权益兑换 输入“妙投888”即可领取。
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